Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.259864 0.300055 0.344196 0.396247 0.455922 0.522179 0.601307
2024-10-13 0.196949 0.249170 0.311703 0.391998 0.492274 0.613287 0.770357
2024-10-20 0.157620 0.216817 0.293524 0.399955 0.543565 0.730386 0.991685
2024-10-27 0.122483 0.182202 0.265495 0.389694 0.569719 0.820680 1.196621
2024-11-03 0.103015 0.164735 0.256861 0.403622 0.630748 0.967957 1.505581
2024-11-10 0.088197 0.150870 0.250503 0.419255 0.696688 1.133149 1.869943
2024-11-17 0.073459 0.133920 0.235914 0.418908 0.737275 1.265952 2.207181
2024-11-24 0.061521 0.119093 0.221789 0.416271 0.773010 1.396007 2.561394
2024-12-01 0.052260 0.107059 0.210087 0.415353 0.810998 1.535204 2.953789
2024-12-08 0.045110 0.097499 0.201004 0.417315 0.854105 1.689609 3.398205
2024-12-15 0.040061 0.091073 0.196678 0.427508 0.914376 1.884771 3.950496
2024-12-22 0.034828 0.083142 0.187770 0.426564 0.951756 2.040601 4.449178
2024-12-29 0.031226 0.078205 0.184528 0.437661 1.017562 2.266780 5.135012
2025-01-05 0.026914 0.070690 0.174190 0.431110 1.043851 2.414523 5.678949
2025-01-12 0.024119 0.066282 0.170194 0.438549 1.103376 2.644398 6.443266
2025-01-19 0.020668 0.059431 0.158999 0.426475 1.114653 2.767049 6.981895
2025-01-26 0.019010 0.057012 0.158449 0.441082 1.194106 3.061970 7.978535
2025-02-02 0.017615 0.055022 0.158645 0.457705 1.281716 3.390454 9.110767
2025-02-09 0.015704 0.051098 0.152854 0.457043 1.323756 3.611793 10.007223
2025-02-16 0.013962 0.047285 0.146627 0.453981 1.358784 3.820673 10.905181
2025-02-23 0.012507 0.044035 0.141404 0.452853 1.399144 4.050190 11.896127
2025-03-02 0.011319 0.041389 0.137479 0.454898 1.449212 4.314279 13.025778
2025-03-09 0.010494 0.039784 0.136490 0.465921 1.528298 4.672511 14.481263